Friday, 31 October 2025

Footy updates 2025/20

*******************************

Recent matches:

EFL Cup 4th round:

Wycombe 1 Fulham 1 (Fulham won on penalties)
An excellent effort against a Premier League team

Arsenal 2 Brighton 0
Really nice to see a 15yo and a 17yo make their first starts

Newcastle 2 Tottenham 0
Spurs' first away defeat of the season

The draw for the quarter finals: Arsenal v Crystal Palace

Also a match I didn't expect (it's apparently in the Challenge Cup, whatever that is):

Whitstable 2 Bearsted 3
Bearsted are Whitstable's main challengers for the league title

*******************************

My forecasts for this weekend: (and ChatGPT's):

Burnley 0 Arsenal 3 CGPT: 1-3

Charlton 1 Swansea 1 CGPT: 2-1

QPR 1 Ipswich 1 CGPT: 2-1

Wycombe 1 Plymouth 0 CGPT: 2-2

Fisher 1 Whitstable 4 CGPT: 0-3

Tottenham 1 Chelsea 1 CGPT: 1-2

**EDIT - The Womens Super League is back after an international break

Leicester Women 0 Arsenal Women 2 CGPT: 1-3

Floating budgets

It seems to have become common practice for the Treasury to "leak" possible budget measures to see what reactions ensue - from economists, political parties, the media, lobbying groups - without necessarily intending to include them in the budget.

It started with George Osbourne. He leaked the pasty tax proposal; cue high street (and Cornish) anger, leading to a much milder form in the actual budget of 2012. Ditto a "caravan tax", which enraged Conservative voters and their MPs and never appeared in the budget. In an earlier budget the department floated information about child benefit and welfare cuts; the responses enabled him to decide which, and to what extent, measures were finally enacted. The practice has continued through Philip Hammond, Rishi Sunak and Jeremy Hunt.

Now Rachel Reeves is at it. In recent weeks we've heard about freezing tax thresholds, property and wealth taxes, breaching manifesto promises and pension entitlements.

This is no way to run a government. In the old days (cue 1970s sound track) the concept of budget purdah prevailed - no knowledge of budget proposals outside a small government circle and definitely no discussing of, publishing of or even hinting at them before budget day. MPs of all parties were not "in the know". The rationale was to protect markets from insider knowledge, respect Parliament’s primacy and to avoid confusion and pre-emptive lobbying. In other words, grown up government rather than schoolboy politics. Gordon Brown was the last to adhere to the traditional secrecy, allegedly to the nth degree.

The old ways feel better, don't you think?

Thursday, 30 October 2025

Shabs and Streets

This is not a post about football. Just thought I'd get that in before I lose half my audience. It's also not about chess. However, I have to start with a reference to a chess-playing footballer, otherwise you wouldn't understand the title. 

Eberichi Eze is a top class footballer who plays for England's best team - Arsenal - in the Premier League. He is also a competition-winning chess player. And his friends call him "Ebs".

Now you get it - the title refers to Shabana Mahmood and Wes Streeting. Get it?

Why am I talking about them? Because, in my opinion, the survival of the Labour Party as an electoral force may well depend on them. It's hard to know how Cabinet Ministers are performing; it's a complex job and most of the work they do is in the background but they are most often judged by their public performances. My (completely uninformed) instinct is that the Prime Minister has actually got the best people into these two key Cabinet posts. Solve the NHS and the Home Office/immigration problems and the rest is fluff. No-one cares about Gaza, Ukraine, football regulators, fiscal rules and the like when they vote. Get me a GP appointment, rapid cancer tests, shorter waiting lists, stop the boats, process asylum seekers quickly and fairly and....we'll vote for you. And just maybe the workforce will become more productive.

You might argue that economic issues like taxation levels and the price of food will carry huge weight but it just feels there's no quick fix; the economy will take longer than five years to get back on track. The same is probably true of housing: you almost certainly can't get enough houses built to meet the target of 1.5 million. Welfare entitlements/benefits is such a fraught issue that the politics vs economics will thwart real progress.

Then there's defence spending. No-one seriously believes the Russians are going to invade the UK (or that, if they did, their management of the country would be any worse than what we already have), so a target of spending 5% of GDP on nuclear missiles, aircraft carriers, drones and the like just seems to "working people" like a colossal waste of money which could better be spent on more urgent things.

I'm not saying the economy doesn't matter. I'm not saying security doesn't matter. I'm not saying you shouldn't at least try to solve the problems with housing and benefits. It's just that people matter and their lives are constrained by so many negatives at the moment that a few simple (I'm not saying easy) NHS and immigration solutions could make the world of difference to how the country feels. And if they feel better, there's at least a chance they'll vote for you.

So, Shabs and Streets, I'm with you. See it, say it, sort it.

Wednesday, 29 October 2025

You can't blame Brexit

Rachel Reeves recently "outed" Brexit. At an investment summit in Birmingham she said “The Office for Budget Responsibility do the forecasts for the economy. When we left the European Union, or when we voted to leave, they made an estimate about the impact that would have. What they’ve done this summer is go back to all of their forecasts and look at what actually happened compared to what they forecast. What that shows – and what they will set out – is that the economy has been weaker and productivity has been weaker than they forecast, despite the fact that they forecast that the economy would be weaker because of leaving the EU."

So are you saying there's nothing we can do about it? That Brexit has made us worse off and we just have to suck it up?

That's dishonest. If you say - and believe - that a Brexit Britain is intrinsically poorer than a not-Brexit Britain, isn't the logical thing to do something about that? Isn't it possible that proposing reuniting with the EU, or some aspect of that such as re-joining the Customs Union, could completely change the prospects of a left of centre government/coalition defeating the forces of the right at the next election? Could Labour really be bold enough to say "it hasn't worked so we need to reverse the referendum decision" as the central plank of their 2029 election campaign? I recently posted about rolling referendums or at least some clarity on repeat referendums but I'm not proposing a referendum. My proposal would be that a single issue "unBrexit" election would have exactly the same decisive effect as the 2019 Brexit election: a sea change.

I'm not saying any of that would be easy and I'm not saying that I believe it is the right thing to do. I'm just saying that political thought at the moment in the UK is dominated by the populist agenda and there is no counter-insurgency. The "centre ground" has become muddied by the belief that you have to fight populism on its own turf; maybe switching to a proactive, visionary approach could be more effective.

Could it work? Would the EU even want us back? Who knows. But it would be a clear differentiator which voters could understand as a positive vision for the future of the country. It could be a "dead cat" moment [no offence to cats] which distracts voters from the "mess" they think the country is in. Politically for Labour, it would establish clear water between them and Reform/Tory and would go some way towards negating pressure from the LibDems/Greens/nationalists ("we are the only de-Brexit party who can actually make it happen").

Does Labour even have a Boris figure who could make it happen? Not sure. Suggestions?

Tuesday, 28 October 2025

The Castle of Mey

The Castle of Mey. The solution to the King's problem.

The name of the problem is Andrew. Still a Prince, I believe. If I were the King (and I'm with Boris on this; it's a highly desirable life option) I'd be looking hard at where I would like him to live. Number one criterion is...as far away from me as possible. Hence the Castle of Mey, which is a few miles away from John o' Groats.700 miles away from London, only 200 from Norway.

The north of Scotland has a rich history with Norway so it's perfectly possible we could persuade Norway to annex that small portion of the north east coast of Scotland, in which case Andrew would be a Norway resident and they might even allow him to be extradited to the USA to give evidence in the Epstein/Maxwell investigation.

It should be easy to persuade Andrew of this. Large house? Tick - according to the Times it has 38 rooms including 15 bedrooms; not at all sure what he'd do with those but I'm guessing he would come up with some ideas. Grand living? Tick - it's a castle, for goodness sake. Title? You could call him King Of The North, which would have the additional advantage of annoying Andy Burnham. Two ticks.

Then there's the referendum. The next time there is one on Scottish independence, the King could legitimately campaign for the Yes camp, as "my brother is available to be your King". In which case, again, the extradition possibility comes into play.

You need to know how to play to people's egos, Charles.

Sunday, 26 October 2025

Footy updates 2025/19

How did my forecasts fare this weekend? (And ChatGPT's)

Ipswich 1 West Brom 1 CGPT: 2-1 Result: 1-0
Only the second clean sheet of the season; that says everything. More needed

Hull 2 Charlton 1 CGPT: 2-1 Result: 1-1
A late equaliser for Charlton

Wycombe 1 Huddersfield 1 CGPT: 1-1 Result: 3-0
A very early red card for Huddersfield helps Wycombe further away from the relegation zone

Whitstable 2 Holmesdale 1 CGPT: 3-1 Result: 5-0 [attendance: 578]
2 goals for D Grant and 2 for 38yo Joe Healy (described on Wikipedia as a "former footballer")

Arsenal 2 Crystal Palace 1 CGPT: 3-0 Result: 1-0
The juggernaut rolls on

Everton 1 Tottenham 1 CGPT: 2-1 Result: 0-3
Impressive away form. 3rd in the table, 5 points behind the Gunners

Correct results: 2 out of 6 (ChatGPT: 3)

Correct scores: 0 out of 6 (ChatGPT: 0)

Match score this season so far: usedtobecroquetman 1 Chat GPT 2

***********************

Upcoming midweek games (all EFL Cup 4th round):

Wycombe v Fulham

Arsenal v Brighton

Newcastle v Tottenham

Friday, 24 October 2025

Footy updates 2025/18

*******************************

Recent matches:

Snodland Town 1 Whitstable Town 5
Up to 2nd in the table

Ipswich 0 Charlton 3
Shocker. What has happened to Ipswich? And it's maybe Charlton who are promotion candidates

Arsenal 4 Atletico Madrid 0
Thrilling win against a tricky opponent

Monaco 0 Tottenham 0
Snoozefest

*******************************

My forecasts for this weekend: (and ChatGPT's):

Ipswich 1 West Brom 1 CGPT: 2-1

Hull 2 Charlton 1 CGPT: 2-1

Wycombe 1 Huddersfield 1 CGPT: 1-1

Whitstable 2 Holmesdale 1 CGPT: 3-1

Arsenal 2 Crystal Palace 1 CGPT: 3-0

Everton 1 Tottenham 1 CGPT: 2-1

Monday, 20 October 2025

Footy updates 2025/17

How did my forecasts fare this weekend? (And ChatGPT's)

Middlesbrough 1 Ipswich 1 CGPT: 1-1 Result: 2-1
Top of the table Middlesbrough show Ipswich that control trounces flair

Charlton 1 Sheffield Wednesday 0 CGPT: 1-2 Result: 2-1
Wednesday are a basket case; I'd expect ChatGPT to know that 

Blackpool 1 Wycombe 2  CGPT: 1-2 Result: 1-1
113th minute equaliser keeps the Chairboys out of the relegation zone

Erith & Belvedere 1  Whitstable Town 2  CGPT: 1-2 Result: 0-1
Up to 5th; games in hand 

Fulham 0 Arsenal 1 CGPT: 0-2 Result: 0-1
Top of the table 

Tottenham 2 Aston Villa 0  CGPT: 2-1 Result: 1-2
Bit of a shocker really; Spurs 6th 

Correct results: 3 out of 6 (ChatGPT: 2)

Correct scores: 1 out of 6 (ChatGPT: 0)

Match score this season so far: usedtobecroquetman 1 Chat GPT 1

***********************

Upcoming midweek games:

Snodland Town v Whitstable Town 

Ipswich v Charlton 

Arsenal v Atletico Madrid 

Monaco v Tottenham 

Sunday, 19 October 2025

Welcome to the 80s

On Being Eighty

On Being Eighty

Do not smile and pat me on the head
Because I’m eighty
Do not treat me as though I were a child
Because I’m eighty
Do not assume that I am 
Not as bright as you
Or that my opinion doesn’t count
Because I’m eighty
Do not talk about me 
As though I weren’t there
Because I’m eighty
Do not roll your eyes to heaven 
When I complain and please...Please 
Don’t call me dearie
Just because I’m eighty
Beatrice Boyle
****************************

Eighty Not Out

In the gay, gleamy morn I adore to go walking, And oh what sweet people I meet on my way! I hail them with joy for I love to be talking, Although I have nothing important to say. I cheer the old grannies whose needles are plying; I watch the wee kiddies awhoop at their play: When sunny the sky is, you'll not be denying The morning's the bonniest bit of the day. With hair that is silver the look should be smiling, And lips that are ageful should surely be wise; And so I go gaily with gentle beguiling, Abidding for cheer in the bright of your eyes. I look at the vines and the blossoms with loving; I listen with glee to the thrush on the spray: And so with a song in my heart I am proving That life is more beautiful every day. For I think that old age is the rapture of living, And though I've had many a birthday of cheer, Of all the delectable days of God's giving, The best of the bunch is my eightieth year. So I will go gay in the beam of the morning Another decade,--Oh I haven't a doubt! Adoring the world of the Lord's glad adorning, And sing to the glory of Ninety-not-Out.
Robert William Service

Saturday, 18 October 2025

I'm with the great unwashed

I'm on a GWR train. Trying to watch the football on my shiny new (non-Apple) tablet, which I adore. But the train wifi isn't up to the job and m I'll explain why.

My train was cancelled, which is not atypical on a weekend. I get the next train, one hour later, on which of course I no longer have a seat reservation - although a bit of aggressive hunting resolves that. But there are now two trainloads of people on one train. And two trainloads of people using the wifi which is in normal circumstances slow and is now virtually unusable.

I find a seat and notice that the free first class drinks trolley is a few rows away, so I can grab a coffee. Not so fast: "Sorry. I've passed that seat, I'll catch you on the way back". What? I'm here, you're there, just hand me a coffee. Please. Not my actual words but I was not myself. A good thing I got the coffee while it was available (plus a pathetic little "snack box", which is GWR's contribution to citizens' obesity at weekends when there are no sandwiches - which you'd think they could make a packet on given the large customer base on this train).

Because shortly after, the announcement "sorry we're suspending trolley service because we can't get through the massed hordes".

Meanwhile, in a further development, "sorry there are loads of you without seats so we are declassifying this service; you can go and sit in the empty first class seats alongside the posh people who have paid £100 or more for the privilege of avoiding the hoi polloi. Long live the revolution!".

"Dear first class travellers, please note that, should you ever get home, you can claim a refund of the difference between your fare and a cattle class fare, although it's obviously possible the website will crash if you all do it at the same time ".

What am I going to do for the remaining hours of my journey? I know, I'll write a blog post. Which is why I'm sharing this with you, dear patient reader.

If I ever get to Whitstable today, I'll need a strong drink and a shower.

Friday, 17 October 2025

Footy updates 2025/16

*******************************

Recent matches (international break for the men):

Arsenal Women 1 Lyon 2 (Champions League match day 1 of 6)
Forgotten how to defend.

Wigan 0 Wycombe 1
Out of the relegation zone

Wealdstone 5 Whitstable 1 (FA Cup Fourth Qualifying Round)
A great run to get this far. Now they can concentrate on the League: win all their games in hand and they'll be top!

Arsenal Women 1 Brighton Women 0
Every game's a struggle at the moment 

Holmesdale 0 Whitstable 4 (Kent Senior Trophy 1st round)
Town are three time winners of this competition and were beaten finalists last year

Benfica Women 0  Arsenal Women 2 (Champions League match day 2 of 6)
More like it. I've seen an estimate that 10 (possibly even 9) points from the 6 games should get you into at least the playoffs for the knockout rounds. So Arsenal need 7 points from the remaining 4 games. Winning all those 4 games might get them into the top 4 and automatic qualification for the knockouts

*******************************

My forecasts for this weekend: (and ChatGPT's)

Middlesbrough 1 Ipswich 1 CGPT: 1-1

Charlton 1 Sheffield Wednesday 0 CGPT: 1-2

Blackpool 1 Wycombe 2  CGPT: 1-2

Erith & Belvedere 1  Whitstable Town 2  CGPT: 1-2

Fulham 0 Arsenal 1 CGPT: 0-2

Tottenham 2 Aston Villa 0  CGPT: 2-1


Monday, 13 October 2025

BBC2 has it all wrong

Regular readers will know that Monday night is Quiz Night on BBC2. Very entertaining and stimulating it is; our public service broadcaster has a duty to inform, educate and entertain.

Tonight, Quiz Night is cancelled in favour of...bloody football! And not just any old football, it's the mighty clash between...Northern Ireland and Germany. Oh my!

A few points to make here.

  1. The BBC has a Northern Ireland channel, as variants of BBC1 and BBC2. Just as viewers in Kent get your local news and weather on BBC South East and we in Cornwall have BBC South West, so the lovely folks in Belfast can get their own stuff. Which could easily show the footy and leave the quizzes for the rest of us.
  2. Mastermind, Only Connect and University Challenge regularly pull in one and half (Mastermind) and two (the others) million viewers. Let's be conservative and assume there are all the same people - devotees like me.
  3. The population of Northern Ireland is roughly 1.9 million. Let's assume that half them are women and 100,000 are boys below the age of 5, based on recent census data. I'm not being sexist, just making a reasonable assumption that the goodly ladies of Derry have better things to do than watch their awful (FIFA ranked 71st in the world) football team lose to Germany (9th). Take away the 18,000 who will actually go to Windsor Park to watch the game, plus let's say 15% of the men who couldn't care less about football, and you are left with a potential audience of (being generous) around 700,000. 
So how does the BBC justify junking a 2 million Quiz Night audience for 700,000 Northern Irish football fans who could actually watch it on their own local channel?

It makes no sense.

But I will get to watch England's Under 21s play live on YouTube, without missing any quizzes!

Saturday, 11 October 2025

USA 0 Norway 1

The title tells the story. No more words needed.

The Female King

Can you have a female King? Jadwiga was one. She...wait, I couldn't find out what pronouns she preferred to use...was the first (and last) female monarch of Poland in the 14th century.

According to Civilization VI, she was "well-educated, fluent in five languages and embarrassingly pious". She was 11 years old when she became King in 1384. Sadly, she died in 1399 after she gave birth to a daughter; both mother and child died of complications. 

It appears she was much loved by her subjects, particularly because of her holiness. Three miracles are attributed to her and she was canonised as a Saint by the Catholic Church in 1997.

I've read various texts explaining the reasons she became King rather than Queen. It seems that (a) tradition inferred Queens as mere regnal spouses and (b) none of the noblemen wanted the others to be King.


Friday, 10 October 2025

No offence, Wales

Every football fan knows one thing above all about England. The men's team, that is.

We race through the qualifying groups against countries like San Marino and Andorra, scoring bucketloads of goals and ending with a 100% record. Then comes the competition proper. And we struggle against decent teams and...

...get beaten by Germany.

Our (German) coach is leading us through the qualification campaign ready for the World Cup in Canada, Mexico and the USA next Summer. So far we have played 5, won 5, scored 13 goals and conceded none. So when it comes to filling a gap in the schedule with a friendly game, you'd think it would be a great opportunity to find out about the players vying for their spots by playing a match against Brazil. Or France. Maybe Ghana. Definitely not Senegal, we lost 3-1 to them earlier this year (see what I mean?)

But no, we decide to play...Wales. No offence to the Welsh but they are ranked 30th in the world, between Panama and Norway. We know what our players, even those notionally in our second string, can do against Panama, Wales and Norway. What we don't know is how good they will be against Portugal, Croatia and the Dutch. Better to find out now rather than in 9 month's time when it matters.

I don't get it. As the well-known terrace chant goes:

You don't know what you're doing.

Oh and just so you know, it was England 3 Wales 0.

Thursday, 9 October 2025

This Is Not The Way

"In the six decades of its existence, the State of Israel, far from solving the problem of anti-Semitism, has exacerbated it, and failed to increase the collective security of its Jewish citizens or alleviate the existential anxiety of Jews around the world."

So writes David Goldberg, Rabbi Emeritus of the Liberal Jewish Synagogue in London in his book This Is Not The Way: Jews, Judaism and Israel. I read it after a reference in an article by Max Hastings in the Times recently, knowing that I have strong instinctive and long-standing feelings about the actions of Israel in the Middle East but conscious that could represent an anti-Semitism which I didn't think I possessed.

“When Jewish representatives insist, as the Israel PR Lobby does, on an axiomatic linkage between anti-Semitism and anti-Zionism, as though they are two aspects of the same seamless, linear continuity, not only are we guilty of sloppy, ahistorical oversimplification but we are also failing to treat a subject vital to our well-being with the intellectual rigour it deserves.”

This book aims to apply that rigour and that is what attracted me to it; I needed to find out what Jews thought of the behaviour of the State of Israel. I have been shocked by its recent actions in Gaza, the West Bank and Lebanon but am I guilty of not understanding how Jews throughout the world feel existentially threatened?

Right from the beginning, Goldberg makes the distinction between the Diaspora and the state of Israel. Chapter 1 (of 8) is entitled “Zionism triumphant, the Diaspora subservient”. 

In Chapter 3 the author explores the history of anti-Semitism, firstly over centuries in Christian culture and more recently (particularly post-Holocaust, post-settlement) in the Muslim tradition, concluding that “we Jews do have justifiable cause to be concerned. Anti-Semitism has always been a light sleeper and requires constant monitoring." Nevertheless he asserts that "it should be possible to distinguish between anti-Semitism and anti-Zionism, particularly when the latter is not questioning Israel's right to exist but asking critical questions of government policy vis-à-vis Israel being the Jewish state rather than a state for all its citizens".

Goldberg scurries through the centuries to assess the causes and effects of declining Jewishness, through "marrying out", conversions to Christianity and the perceived need to sidestep (real or imagined) anti-Semitic barriers to acceptance, promotions and the like. He discusses the "absurdity" of the Law of Return granting automatic Israeli citizenship to such as immigrants from the Soviet Union but denying them the rights to Jewish marriage or burial. Israel's first government in 1948, under the secularist Prime Minister David Ben-Gurion, "granted control over Jewish status to the [ultra-Orthodox] religious bloc as its price for entering his coalition cabinet...hence the unseemly horse-trading that regularly ensues when a coalition government needs to to strike a deal between religious demands on the one hand and the civic expectations of the overwhelming majority of the Israeli electorate and world Jewry on the other...even though less than 20 per cent of the Israeli electorate ever votes for a religious party and in the USA, Israel's staunchest Diaspora ally, about 90 per cent of Jewry is resolutely non-Orthodox."

There are some middle chapters - "Who is a Jew?", "God is dead, long live Behaviourism" and "How 'holy' is Holy Scripture?" - which stretched my patience, being a philosopher-historian's analysis of what Judaism is all about. The author even ventures into whether and in what way God exists and the existence of the universe, things which interest me but which I can find discussed in other sources if I choose to. My primary interest was elsewhere and addressed by the final chapter "Jewish ethics and the State of Israel", which was central to my search for an answer to the question "I abhor the actions being taken by Israel; does that make me anti-Semitic?"

In order to decipher whether I am anti-Zionist I need to understand what Zionism is.

"For more than sixty years now, Judaism as the religion of the Jewish people has been sustained by Zionism, its secular alter ego. The early Zionists, led by Herzl, were adept at appropriating the metaphors of faith - the promise of a 'land flowing with milk and honey', the yearning for 'next year in Jerusalem' - and adapting them to their own secular purposes. In that way, Zionism, the newcomer among Jewish responses to modernity, positioned itself in the mainstream of Jewish history as a fulfilment of, not a rupture with, the Jewish past."

Returning to chapter 1, Goldberg asserts that "the voluntary liquidation of the Diaspora and the ingathering of the exiles in their ancestral homeland would be the consummation of the Zionist vision, not merely achieving Lebensraum but bolstering numbers. Since the state was established in 1948, the constant plaint of its leaders has been 'If only we had more Jews.' More Jews to populate the Galilee; more Jews to make the Negev bloom; more Jews to counter-balance the increasing numbers of Arab citizens of Israel; more Jews to provide a bulwark against the three-times-higher Palestinian birth rate in Gaza and the West Bank. All this because the greatest threat to Israel's long-term viability in a hostile environment is not the military but the demographic one."

He concludes that there comes a point at which all Jews worldwide that want to come to live in Israel have done so. Hence Zionism morphs from the original desire for a Jewish homeland in Palestine to an assertion of its national identity by pushing robustly against any perceived boundaries to its geographical and philosophical existence. He analyses the development of West Bank settlement into effectively an unwarranted land grab. In June 1967 Israel "conquered the Territories [Sinai, Gaza, the Golan Heights and the West Bank] in a justified war of self-defence....settlement building began almost by default...soon though religious zealots overturned the likelihood of selective settlement construction based on military requirements....ever since then, settler pressure groups either of the aggressively nationalist or the religiously fundamentalist variety, or a combination of both, have been the tail wagging successive government dogs. The natural order has been overturned...an original settler population of a few hundred on the West Bank in 1968 has grown to around 230,000 today."

Israeli politicians of all hues have backed themselves into a corner from which they don't know how to extricate themselves, after years of lazy acceptance of the status quo, sneaky admiration for the new breed of Zionist pioneers planting the Israeli flag on remote West Bank hilltops... [so can they] face down settler-posturing and convince a dubious public that a solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict is at least attainable; that it is in Israel's best interests to have for a neighbour a stable, demilitarised Palestinian state [that] marginalises the the irredentist agenda of extremist factions such as Hamas?

The author concludes that only a "leap of the imagination" in the form of a partnership of its own citizens and Diaspora Jews can change the mindset of the nation.

For me, this has been a been a very worthwhile read. Despite the author's obvious despair at so much of Israeli government policy and action, he analyses all the issues as fairly as he is able and gave me a great deal of enlightenment on an issue which has been brought so vividly to the world in these last two years.

"Whether a Jewish state was the solution to the 'Jewish problem' or merely the new Jewish problem has yet to be decided."

Peru or Ecuador?

My "go to" chocolate preference is plain and dark. Tesco has own brand Finest offerings from Peru (85%) and Ecuador (75%) and milk chocolate from the Ivory Coast (48%). They are unusual in identifying the source of their cocoa. I carried out extensive research in the chocolate aisle of the store (yum) and no other brands did this. Lindt? No. Green&Blacks? Also No.

ChatGPT, in a style which I appreciate, is at its most cynical in saying why:

Because they don’t want you to think too hard about where it comes from.

Here’s the blunt truth:

Most big chocolate brands deliberately leave out the source country because transparency would expose uncomfortable facts about their supply chains — child labour, deforestation, and unfair pay being the main ones. The majority of the world’s cocoa (around 60–70%) comes from West Africa, mainly Ivory Coast and Ghana, where working conditions are often poor and traceability is patchy at best.

So shout out to Tesco, which displays the following information in their packaging:

We work with the Transparence Cacao programme and the Rainforest Alliance in Peru, Ecuador and Côte d'Ivoire to help ensure that every bar of Tesco Finest chocolate supports sustainable practices in the cocoa industry and contributes to the livelihoods of farming communities.

I couldn't find any evidence of any other major chocolate brands using Transparence Cacao, although they all make claims to sustainable practices. So why not tell us where your cocoa comes from?

I need to undertake a taste test. Will the winner be Peru or Ecuador?

Wednesday, 8 October 2025

I'm a Progressive Activist

The pollster More in Common has produced a new segmentation of the British public, "based on extended research into Britons' core beliefs, their values and behaviours". The seven segments are:

  • progressive activists
  • incrementalist left
  • established liberals
  • sceptical scrollers
  • rooted patriots
  • traditional conservatives
  • dissenting disruptors
Based on an initially flimsy understanding of what these mean, I'd say that I am naturally either a sceptical scroller or a dissenting disruptor. Given that the sequence looks as though it is fundamentally left through the centre to right, I think I'll go for being a sceptical scroller.

moreincommon.org.uk helpfully provides a detailed description for each category and, even more helpfully, a "Which segment are you? Take the quiz" button. So I did.

There are 21 questions; it took me 13 minutes. Started with a really tricky one:
I went for option 1. I hope they're not all this hard.

Turns out, as the title says, I'm a Progressive Activist - "A highly engaged and progressive group, uncompromising on the issues they care about and striving for global social justice".

Key words
Idealistic, radical, uncompromising, political, woke.

What they worry about
Global issues such as the war in Gaza or climate change, inequality in Britain, the power of billionaires, the rise of Reform UK, the rise of Donald Trump, Brexit, affordable housing, racial justice.

Where you might find them
In university campuses and cities; in Labour and Green Party meetings; on Bluesky; in flatshares or living with their parents; in third sector workplaces; in constituencies such as Hackney South and Shoreditch, Edinburgh South and Bristol Central.

How they get their news
High engagement with the news: from notifications from multiple news apps (likely The Guardian and the BBC), independent digital news outlets such as Novara, directly from political commentators on social media, from podcasts such as The News Agents or Pod Save the UK.

You can read a full description of me and the other PAs here.

Honestly, this is completely wrong about me. Which means (a) I'm too stupid to understand the questions or (b) their model is completely flawed and verges on clickbait. I believe the biggest defect is that they conflate feeling strongly about something with being emotionally and practically active about it. Believing in one of two strongly worded options (because you can't stomach the other) is not the same as caring about it. I'm the sucker that does online quizzes but despises their tendency to put people into boxes.

Looking at the details of the other segments, I think I actually fit Established Liberal more than anything but "less empathetic to those who are struggling" means it's a No. I have no natural home in their segmentation.

I suspect my reservations won't encourage my readers to try the questions but you could just treat it as a bit of fun. Do what I did - instinctive reaction first then do the quiz and post your answers in the Comments.

Tuesday, 7 October 2025

Genius Act

The USA passed the Genius Act on 18th July. Did you know? Me neither. Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins (GENIUS) is its title.

I have been struggling for literally months to figure out how to write a blog post about stablecoins, given that I don't know what they are and I don't understand any explanation offered. But, in the Reithian spirit of inform, educate and entertain, I am trying. Today is not the first time that Mehreen Khan, the Economics Editor of the Times, has written about this subject and today's article is headlined "Fear of missing out may convince central banks to embrace stablecoin". She writes "A stablecoin is a digital asset whose value is meant to be guaranteed by a peg to a traditional currency such as the dollar". She compares this with cryptocurrency, which has no such (notionally) intrinsic value.

Through the Genius Act the US government seeks to regulate, enable, perhaps even promote the issuance of stablecoins by non-governmental bodies - perhaps the likes of Amazon. But it's the central banks that are now considering the "opportunities". The Bank of England, initially sceptical, is now pursuing the possibility of a "digital pound". Khan asserts that the Bank "changed its tune...probably driven by the potential fiscal and financial benefits of the goldrush into stablecoins, which seems too lucrative to miss".

It seems to me that "goldrush" should raise a huge red flag. Isn't it true that the 2008 financial crisis was caused by the creation of new financial instruments which ultimately fell apart? Is the world at risk of doing it again? Why is the stablecoin concept necessary?

Another of my regular TV programmes has been Dragon's Den and the "dragons" frequently make the criticism of a pitch that "it's a solution to a problem that doesn't exist". Could stablecoins be one of those? The cynically minded amongst us would ask "who benefits from their existence?" The answer is almost certainly not you or me.

The whole thing is like those theoretical concepts in maths and physics - the square root of minus one, imaginary time, the Higgs Boson, multiple dimensions - which have no reality or meaning except in the minds of weird people.

I used to want to be one of those weird people - existing only in a non-corporeal state - but my natural patience and low boredom threshold make it an impossible dream. However, I shall continue trying to bring difficult concepts to you, dear readers. Mostly in the hope that one of you can explain better than I can.

Latest quiz night

Last night on BBC2:

7:30 Mastermind

This week's specialist subjects:

  • The Jurassic Coast - not too far away from me but I really have no idea.
  • The major plays of Molière - I may as well snooze until the next contestant; but this one scored barely more than me.
  • Queen (that's the band, not the Queen) - this is more like it but I still got zero.
  • Mickey Mouse cartoons 1928 to 1935. He should get out more.
The second half of the show is general knowledge questions, in which I have a chance of scoring higher than zero. I should probably just switch on at 7:45.

I'm baffled as to why people watch this programme but it's been going since the 1980s when it got over 20 million viewers. Latest viewership is around 1.5 million. I imagine it's pretty cheap to produce so it'll still be going in the next century.

8:00 Only Connect

Whereas I know that I know nothing on Mastermind, on this programme I expect to be able to solve the mind puzzles but I think, like cryptic crosswords, untangling them is a matter of practice and familiarity. Sadly I'm not there yet. Whereas I don't care about Mastermind, I do care about this impossible quiz.

8:30 University Challenge

I rather like the range of personalities in the teams, and occasionally I'll shout out some answers  - particularly if I know the answer and they don't. For some reason I find it enjoyable. When the team members introduce themselves, I pay attention to the discipline each is studying, in order to assess the balance of knowledge you need to cover all sorts of questions, much as you would to build a pub quiz team. If you have four mathematicians, you're going to struggle. I don't know if this is a recent pattern but it seems as if there are more postgrad students than in earlier years. Not sure that's a good thing.

Fortunately there are plenty of Monday evenings when there is football, so that gets preference.

Of the three questionmasters/mistresses/persons, Clive Myrie doesn't really have much to do except ask the questions so his unassuming persona is what's required, Victoria Coren Mitchell is clever but annoying and Amol Rajan is perfection.


Monday, 6 October 2025

Things I can't find out #2

The French government has fallen (again) because they decided to get rid of two of the country's 11 bank holidays. Non!

It seemed to me I should know a bit more about bank holidays. Why do they exist? Who invented them? Given economists consider poor productivity to be a key driver of the UK's weak economy, shouldn't we ban them? How much does a bank holiday cost the country?

We can blame Sir John Lubbock, who introduced the Bank Holidays Act of 1871, which created the first official bank holidays in England, Wales, Ireland, and Scotland. I asked ChatGPT why?

In addition to the “sacred” days (Christmas, Good Friday, Sundays), the Act designated Easter Monday, Whit Monday, first Monday in August and Boxing Day (Scotland has always had different days, let's ignore that for the moment). Funnily enough, Christmas Day (a traditional holiday) didn't become an official Bank Holiday until 1974, although banks had always closed on that day.

Later additions to the list were New Year's Day, May Day and the last Monday in August. The Spring Bank Holiday replaced Whit Monday.

What is it with bankers? Are they so rich they need extra time in which to spend their money? Just get back in, get rid of all these unnecessary holidays except Christmas Day and GET THE COUNTRY BACK TO WORK! (I know, I've gone all Trumpish).

Given that we all bank online nowadays, do we need high street banks at all? Maybe we should call these holidays Public Entitlement Days instead of Bank Holidays; perhaps that would cause people to think about whether we need them.

I'm with Boris on this; in 2022 when England's women won the European Championships, there was a (public? media?) clamour for a one-off bank holiday but he said No on account of the "big economic cost of an extra bank holiday". Good for him. Although he did say he'd consider it if the men's team won something, which is (a) typically Boris sexism and (b) an easy promise because there is no chance of it ever happening.

The French government wanted to scrap Easter Monday and VE Day and that didn't end well. So perhaps beware.

I should probably, in the cause of complete transparency, declare an interest. As a pensioner, every day is a holiday.

Sunday, 5 October 2025

Footy updates 2025/15

How did my forecasts fare this weekend? (And ChatGPT's)

Manchester City Women 1 Arsenal Women 1 CGPT: 2-1 Result: 3-2
Attack good; defence awful. Title gone?

Wycombe 1 Barnsley 2 CGPT: 2-1 Result: 2-2

Leeds 2 Tottenham 2 CGPT: 1-2 Result: 1-2

Arsenal 3 West Ham 0 CGPT: 3-1 Result: 2-0

Nice to see one of our favourites topping a table. Those pesky other North Londoners threatening, the North London Derby is on 23rd November.

Preston 1 Charlton 1 CGPT: 2-0 Result: 2-0
Preston 4th in the table so no worries

Ipswich 2 Norwich 2 CGPT: 2-2 Result: 3-1
Ipswich haven't won this derby for 16 years so this is a welcome shock. It took an hour for Ipswich to realise that playing out from the back is a recipe for disaster at this level. Thereafter, and with four excellent attacking substitutions, it was all Town.

Hythe Town 0 Whitstable Town 1 CGPT 1-1  Result: 1-2
Still a promising position in the table if they can make the most of their games in hand 

Correct results: 2 out of 7 (ChatGPT: 4)

Correct scores: 0 out of 7 (ChatGPT: 2)

Match score: usedtobecroquetman 0 Chat GPT 1

***********************

Upcoming midweek games:

It's an international break so only one game:

Arsenal Women v Lyon (Champions League)

Friday, 3 October 2025

Footy updates 2025/14

*******************************

This week's midweek matches:

Bristol City 1 Ipswich 1
Not a bad result given City are 4th in the league but it's not promotion-winning form. McKenna is perhaps struggling to integrate 11 new players into the squad, some of them with little or no pre-season, and watching this match didn't give me confidence he is near to finding the optimal solution. However, we are only three points behind 3rd place with a game [the infamous game] in hand, in a very congested table. He needs to sort out his best eleven quickly.y

Bodo/Glimt 2 Tottenham 2 (UEFA Champions League [UCL])
Trips to the icy north of Norway are never easy so a draw isn't the end of the world

Derby 1 Charlton 1
After last year's promotion from League One, Charlton are flying. 8th in the table but only one point off the playoff positions.

Arsenal 2 Olympiakos 0 (UCL)
Credit to Olympiakos for coming to play and making it a thrilling match.

My forecasts for this weekend: (I've added ChatGPT's "guesses" (its word))

Manchester City Women 1 Arsenal Women 1 CGPT: 2-1

Wycombe 1 Barnsley 2 CGPT: 2-1

Leeds 2 Tottenham 2 CGPT: 1-2

Arsenal 3 West Ham 0 CGPT: 3-1

Preston 1 Charlton 1 CGPT: 2-0

Ipswich 2 Norwich 2 CGPT: 2-2

Hythe Town 0 Whitstable Town 1 CGPT 1-1


White Stripes

Jeremy Corbyn at Glastonbury 2017. "Oh, Jeremy Corbyn".

This anthem derived from a 2003 single "Seven Nation Army" by the American rock duo White Stripes, comprising Jack and Meg White. It's centred around a seven note guitar riff which never stops, forming bass and melody at different times. I rather like it.


The motif became a stable of football fans celebrating their teams, most notably by the Italian fans at the 2006 World Cup, where their team became Campione del mondo, a phrase which perfectly fit the musical phrase (in normal Italian speech piò is pronounced as a single syllable [a diphthong] but the fans bastardised it to fit the riff).

In poetic scansion the first three syllables - taking piò as oneunstressed–stressed–unstressed - make an amphibrach; del is a stressed monosyllable and mondo is stressed–unstressed: a trochee. As for Jeremy Corbyn, Jeremy is stressed-unstressed-unstressed, a dactyl. Corbyn is a trochee again. I hope you're still with me.

In order to explore whether any of today's politicians can adopt the chant, we need names of seven (in the original riff) or six (in the generally adopted version) six syllables.

Sir Kier Starmer. 4. No good (no offence).

Nigel Farage. 5 but plausible that you could stretch age into the final two notes together. "Oh, Nigel Fara-age". Promising.

Kemi Badenoch. Also 5 but they're all in the wrong places. Which is probably what Robert Jenrick things as he looks at her.

Of course Jezza is still around, although unlikely to be invited to Glastonbury any time soon. But I have the perfect fit for you....

OH, ANGELA RAYNER.

I can hear it ringing around the House of Commons.

For non-fans of rock music and football, the seven note riff is eerily similar to that of the first movement of Anton Bruckner's Fifth Symphony:

Acknowledgements to YouTube, The White Stripes and Jos Thys.

Wednesday, 1 October 2025

A century

In Japan, you get a silver sake cup when you turn 100. Some Swiss cantons give engraved cowbells. Ireland gives a €2,540 "centenarian bounty" - not a once-off, you get it every year until you die.

I asked ChatGPT how many centenarians the Irish currently have, who is the oldest living example and who holds the longevity record. Apparently around 600 currently alive. As for examples, you can imagine records might be a bit patchy - and maybe private; a woman died last year aged 111, another born in 1911 died aged 113. Women worldwide average around 5 years longer lives than men.

More generally around the world, centenarians get a letter from the monarch/President/local Mayor and sometimes elaborate public celebrations/raucous parties. In Israel centenarians are invited to the President’s Residence for tea, group photos, and a party with other 100-year-olds. Sounds a riot.

The 600 Irish centenarians cost their taxpayers €1.5 million a year in total. Peanuts in overall terms. Good for them. Despite UK politicians' best efforts, we could probably afford that. Better than a letter/telegram/WhatsApp message from the King.

By the way, Japan (123 million population) has over 92,000 centenarians. That’s by far the highest per capita anywhere in the world. It's the sake.