Tuesday, 22 December 2020

A shout-out for Premier Inn

I had booked four nights at the Premier Inn in Whistable for Christmas, when the government announced the relaxation of the Covid-19 restrictions (at the time Tier Three in Kent). I chose the cheapest rate, which did not allow cancellation or amendment, because it was significantly lower than the more flexible rates.

Then the Christmas rules were changed. Kent went into a new Tier Four, not allowing mixing of households or travel into or out of the Tier Four region (Cornwall is in Tier One). So I am resigned to losing my £150; no worries, I always  knew it was a possibility. BUT - I received an email from Premier Inn, saying that, as a "goodwill gesture", they would allow me to cancel without penalty. Which I did.

Well done Premier Inn! Thank you.

I will still miss Dan, Gabby, Elias and Isaac but we'll have a kind of Christmas in a few months, hopefully.

There are good people in the world.

Saturday, 19 December 2020

Initials quiz - answers

IKB Isambard Kingdom Brunel
HRC Hillary Rodham Clinton
LBJ Lyndon Baines Johnson
DLG David Lloyd George
ALW Andrew Lloyd Webber
CZJ Catherine Zeta Jones
EAP Edgar Allan Poe
GBS George Bernard Shaw
MLK Martin Luther King
UBL (or OBL) Usama (Osama) bin Laden

Wednesday, 16 December 2020

Faithless electors update

There  were no faithless electors in the Electoral College for this year's US Presidential Election. 

Vote totals were exactly the same as were certified after the vote on December 3rd:

Biden - 306

Trump - 232

The only hurdle remaining to be overcome is the joint session of Congress on January 6th, at which it is theoretically possible for there to be challenges to the results in certain states. That possibility has receded significantly with Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell's acceptance of, and congratulations to, Biden as President-Elect yesterday. Apparently McConnell is also advising his fellow Republicans not to challenge any results on January 6th.

If there are any recalcitrant Republicans still wanting to appease President Trump - or shore up their voter base ready for a 2024 challenge, perhaps - they will be swiftly shot down [probably not literally, I'd guess] and Joe Biden will be finally confirmed as the winner of the election by Congress on January 6th.

Phew!

Join me again in 2024.

Monday, 14 December 2020

Faithless electors

Did you think that the votes had been cast in the US election? Well not quite. As I write this, at least a day before you read it, the members of the Electoral College are meeting in each state and casting their votes for President and Vice President. If you were a voter in Tennessee, you would have cast your vote for your preferred candidate; the party with the most votes in Tennessee then nominates its electors to the Electoral College and they will today cast all their votes for the candidate of that party.

States have a number of Electoral College votes equal to the number of members of the Senate and House of Representatives that state has. Each of the 50 states has two Senators. The number of Representatives for a state is based on its population, as a % of 435, the total number in the House. The District of Columbia (home of Washington D.C.) has 3 Electoral College votes. So a total of 538. California is the most populous state and has 55 Electoral College votes. Wyoming is the smallest and has 3. Tennessee has 12.

These electors are supposed to vote for the candidate of the party which received the most votes in the election. Donald Trump won 60.7% of the vote in Tennessee and so should receive their 12 votes to the Electoral College. They will do so because Tennessee state law requires them to do so. As do a further 28 states and the District of Columbia.

Which leaves 21 states where there is no legal obligation on the electors to cast their votes according to the "result" of the general election in their state. Which leads us to: Faithless Electors. Phew, got there!

It should be said that is normal and entirely conventional for those votes to be cast as though they were mandated by law. Each election year though, there are seem to be a few mavericks (my word, not a term recognised in US electoral law) - the faithless electors. So, given that Joe Biden won 306 electoral college votes and Donald Trump 232, it is not certain that those will be the final numbers. What is certain, however, is that they will be as close as doesn't make any difference. There has been no election when the winner was changed by faithless electors.

In 58 elections since the drafting of the US constitution, there have been just 165 instances of faithlessness, 63 of which occurred in 1872 when Horace Greeley died after Election Day but before the Electoral College convened. So ignoring 1872, an average of around two per election.

In 2016, there were seven faithless electors:
  • Texas (Trump won): one vote for John Kasich, one for Ron Paul
  • Washington (Clinton won): three votes for Colin Powell and one for Faith Spotted Eagle (a member of the Yankton Sioux Nation, an activist and politician and the first Native American to receive an electoral vote for President of the United States)
  • Hawaii (Clinton won): one vote for Bernie Sanders
(in the same cases, there were faithless votes for the Vice Presidential candidates)

So although the "result" of the 2016 election, in terms of electoral college votes, was Trump 306, Clinton 232 (the exact reverse of the 2020 election), the final vote was respectively 304 to 227.

2020? Wait and see, but expect some shenanigans.

So will that be the end? Technically no, because the electoral college votes have to be certified by a joint session of Congress on 6 January. This is a formal reading of the votes, followed by the final declaration of the winner. It is pertinent only if there is an indecisive election, in which case Congress can decide the winner. This happened only in 1800 and 1824.

Rest easy, folks.

Civics lesson over; back to your comics.

Is this the most beautiful fish?

The giant manta ray is an endangered species.
Acknowledgment: oceanlight.com
This beautiful fish is on the Red List of threatened species of the International Union for Conservation of Nature. As of 10 December, there are now 128,918 species on the IUCN Red List, of which 35,765 are threatened with extinction. These are extraordinary and frightening numbers. Their latest newsletter lists 31 species now declared extinct. They include the Lost Shark and three Central American frog species.

The giant manta ray has a wingspan of up to 29 feet, which is bigger than any bird. Although only half the size of a Quetzalcoatlus. The largest population is in Ecuador, particularly in marine reserves. Global populations are declining, partly due to the Chinese belief that the gills have medicinal benefits. Also due to the fact that they give birth to one pup only every two or three years. According to oceana.org:

"Mantas have huge brains — the biggest of any fish — with especially developed areas for learning, problem solving and communicating. The giant rays are playful, curious and might even recognize themselves in mirrors, a sign of self-awareness [Only a few species, including great apes and bottlenose dolphins, can recognize their own reflections, rather than attacking or ignoring a mirror]. A manta’s brain can be ten times larger than a whale shark’s. Not only is the brain physically big, it’s also large relative to the ray’s body. That’s another sign of super smartness, true of elephants, dolphins and people too."

If you want to know where you can see one of these magnificent fish in an aquarium, mantarayadvocates.com tells us:

"We know of four places around the globe that have mantas in huge aquariums:

Georgia Aquarium in Atlanta, GA, USA
Okinawa Churaumi Aquarium in Okinawa, Japan
Atlantis Resort, Paradise Island Bahamas
S.E.A Aquarium in Singapore"

When Covid-19 is done, I'll be off!